A persistent challenge to a campaign is to tell a real threat from a feint. While it was difficult to do so promptly in the traditional medial landscape, digital social media offers both data and tools to precisely diagnose influence. As the COVID pandemic moves the Philippines, we look at the social sentiment across a nation dominated by Facebook usage. Before COVID, President Duterte commands high national support, show by the absolute domination of his endorsed Senatorial candidates and the subsequent polling conducted by Publicus Asia. With the popular perception of a strong and decisive leader, President Duterte seems poised to tackle the COVID crisis. We examine two recent viral peaks
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